AEGIC’s Economics and Market Insights Team analyses market information and economic data to understand future market trends and opportunities. This analysis helps the Australian grains industry position itself to capture maximum value from future opportunities.

A range of big-picture topics that affect Australia’s export grains sector are also available on our Horizons blog.

 

Barley 2030: Anticipated trends in global consumption

September 2020: This report summarises important barley markets for Australia and makes recommendations to maximise value for the industry.

Barley 2030: Anticipated trends in global consumption (8MB, PDF)

Wheat 2030: Anticipated trends in global consumption

August 2020: This report presents a set of baseline projections of international wheat consumption, based on anticipated trends from analysis of historical data.

Wheat 2030: Anticipated trends in global consumption (6MB, PDF)

The growing consumption of bread and baked goods in Indonesia

December 2019: Getting more Aussie wheat into premium Indonesian bakeries could increase value for Australian growers, as our nearest neighbours continue to eat more and more bread and baked goodies.

Full report (10MB, PDF)

Fact sheet (3MB, PDF)

Australia’s Grain Outlook 2030

November 2019: More than half of Australia’s extra grain production in 2030 will be consumed within Australia. Only about half of the additional grain will be available for export, with the rest going straight to the domestic market – mostly for animal feed.

Full report (5MB, PDF)

Wheat and barley markets in the Philippines: Opportunities For Australia

August 2019: While there are other more compelling prospects for Australian grain in South East Asia, strong population and consumption growth could represent opportunities for increased Australian wheat and barley exports to the Philippines

Full report (6MB, PDF)

Fact sheet (5MB, PDF)

Wheat and barley markets in Vietnam: their strategic importance to Australia

June 2019: Vietnam is experiencing rapid economic and social change, with its economy set to double by 2030. Vietnam’s appetite for bread and noodles made from premium Australian wheat could jump 44% by 2030. AEGIC’s report, “Wheat and barley markets in Vietnam: their strategic importance to Australia”, analyses Vietnam’s grain market and economy to understand trends and suggest future actions for Australia.

Full report (7MB, PDF)

Fact sheet (2MB, PDF)

The Indonesian noodle market: its importance to Australian wheat exports

April 2019: Due to its stability and magnitude, Indonesia’s noodle market, especially its instant noodle market, will remain a major source of Indonesia’s demand for imported wheat. Fortunately for Australia, flour made from Australian wheat is used in both instant and fresh noodles. This is the second in a series of three reports on the current status and future prospects of the Indonesian wheat market.

Full report (11MB, PDF)

Fact sheet (2MB, PDF)

Argentina’s grains industry: implications for Australia

November 2018: Argentina’s wheat exports are set to double over the next decade, potentially challenging Australia’s competitiveness in key markets.

Full report (7MB, PDF)

Fact sheet (500KB, PDF)

Australia’s grain supply chains – costs, risks and opportunities full report

November 2018: Australia needs to continue to reform its export grain supply chains to remain competitive in an increasingly challenging global grain market, according to a new report from the Australian Export Grains Innovation Centre (AEGIC).

Full report (14MB, PDF)

Fact sheet (3MB, PDF)

The Indonesian wheat market: its strategic importance to Australia

August 2018: AEGIC has released the first in a series of reports analysing where Australia’s grain demand is likely to come from in coming years. This report outlines Indonesia’s economic and demographic trends and reveals the dramatic growth Indonesia will experience towards 2030 and how this will affect demand for Australian wheat.

Full report (5MB, PDF)

Fact sheet (4MB, PDF)

Russia’s wheat industry: Implications for Australia

September 2016: AEGIC undertook competitor analyses of Russia in this in-depth analysis of the entire Russian grains industry entitled “Russia’s wheat industry: Implications for Australia”.

Full report (8MB, PDF)

Fact sheet (2MB, PDF)

Ukraine – An emerging challenge for Australian Wheat Exports

April 2016: AEGIC compared and contrasted the Ukrainian and Australian grain value chains and reviewed the factors that may influence the future of Ukraine’s grains industry.

Full Report (15MB, PDF)

Fact Sheet (1MB, PDF)

Canada challenges Australia’s grain supply chains

May 2015: This report focused on Canada’s Pacific grain terminals, through which Canada exports most of its grain.

Full Report (3MB, PDF)

Fact Sheet (796KB, PDF)

Western Australia’s noodle wheat industry – Current status and future challenges

2015: Western Australia has a long history of breeding and supplying high quality noodle wheat to Japan and Korea. Noodles are a vital staple food in both Japanese and Korean diets. However, noodle wheat production in WA faces several challenges. The Grain Industry Association of WA (GIWA) Inc. commissioned the Australian Export Grains Innovation Centre (AEGIC) to report on those challenges and outline the current state of the noodle industry. The report will inform industry discussion about what actions are required to meet those challenges.

Full report (2MB, PDF)

Fact sheet (2MB, PDF)

The cost of Australia’s bulk grain export supply chains – An information paper

January 2014: This was the first of these reports and was published in January 2014. It focused exclusively on Australia.

Full Report (3MB, PDF)

Postscript (2MB, PDF)

At a glimpse – the cost of getting farm to ship (88KB, PDF)