AEGIC News and Stories

Horizons #91 – The Great Southland: changes in farmland values

Horizons #91 – The Great Southland: changes in farmland values

The challenge to frontier pioneers in the TV programs of my youth was: “Head west!” resulting in thousands of hopefuls trekking westwards in search of fortune. Australia’s west in recent years has certainly offered up its grain treasures, with consecutive bumper harvests in 2021 and 2022. This has fuelled farmland prices to remarkable heights (see Rural Bank 2022); despite the background challenge of a drying, warming climate (Figure 1).

Horizons #90 – The grain outlook for Ukraine: implications for Australia?

Horizons #90 – The grain outlook for Ukraine: implications for Australia?

Nightly portrayed on television screens across Australia is the destructive damage inflicted by Russian aggression in Ukraine. Russia specifically targets essential infrastructure and housing to create fear and weaken resolve among Ukrainians. As at February 2023 analysts in the Kyiv School of Economics estimate conservatively that the cost of replacing the damaged infrastructure in Ukraine is currently USD144 billion. Half of Ukraine’s energy system is destroyed and 7 million hectares (or 22%) of Ukraine’s arable land is under Russian occupation.

Media release: the LA Judge Award: moulding tomorrow’s baking innovators

Media release: the LA Judge Award: moulding tomorrow’s baking innovators

Young Tasmanian baker Bjarke Svendsgaard has claimed the 2023 LA Judge Award for Baking Apprentice of the Year. The LA Judge Award has been running for well over 50 years to advance the skills of young bakers and identify future baking industry trailblazers. Bjarke, from Olivers Latrobe Cafe Bakery in Latrobe, was officially announced the winner at a gala event in Sydney on Thursday, 11 May 2023, presented by AEGIC and Woolworths.

Horizons #88 – China’s shrinking population

Horizons #88 – China’s shrinking population

In late January 2023, China’s National Bureau of Statistics officially reported that China’s population declined in 2022 by 850,000 to 1.41 billion. There were 10.41 million deaths in 2022 but only 9.56 million births. The birth rate in China has been steadily falling over several decades (Chart 1), even despite the scrapping of its one-child policy.

Horizons #87 – For grain markets, a loss of concentration can help

Horizons #87 – For grain markets, a loss of concentration can help

Our export grain industries are exposed to concentration risk, where a single policy decision could affect the whole trade. In 2017, India purchased about 1.1 million tonnes of Australian chickpea, or 62% of Australia’s chickpea exports in that year. Only a few years later in 2022, India purchased just 0.2% (or 932 tonnes) of Australia’s chickpea exports. The huge reduction was due to India imposing in 2018 a tariff of 66% that effectively closed the market to Australian and other exporters (Figure 1). The policy change by India’s government had an immediate effect on the global chickpea trade which had left itself open to concentration risk.